I have been reluctant to post
this piece by Alan Kuperman because (a) I don't really have any idea what Spero News is and (b) I disagree with the cynical contrarian academic niche Kuperman has managed to carve out for himself.
Kuperman's shtick seems to be to analyze a complex situation, claim that said situation is even more complex than most people understand, and then declare that that the rebels or whatever group is fighting the government are really the ones responsible for the horrors that have befallen or are befalling the innocent civilians in the region.
This passage from his Spero News piece pretty much sums up Kuperman's technique:
But the situation for Rwanda’s Tutsi—both within and outside Rwanda—wasn’t so terrible during those decades. No one was being killed, ethnically cleansed, or badly oppressed. In fact, some Tutsi were thriving. In Uganda, the chief of staff and the head of intelligence of the Army were both Rwandan Tutsi. There was even some resentment in Uganda because the Tutsi refugees were faring better than native Ugandans. Despite this, it was the decision by some Rwandan Tutsi refugees to invade Rwanda that triggered the set of events that led to the genocide. So there is a relationship between lack of freedom and genocide, but it’s not the simplistic story that one might imagine. This is not to excuse but to explain what happened.
So everything was fine in Rwanda until the RPF invaded and pushed the government into committing genocide and killing nearly a million people.
Not surprisingly, Kuperman offers a similar explanation of what happened in Darfur:
The best explanation for why rebellion occurred in 2003 is as a response to the 2002 peace settlement of the north-south civil war, with its provisions for revenue sharing. Darfurians observed that the south had obtained this financial reward by rebelling and attracting international support, which compelled the government to cut a deal. So they too rebelled. The government retaliated, just as it had in the south, with its army, aerial bombing, and recruitment of local militias, which in this case are known as Janjaweed. It’s a repeat of what happened in the south but accelerated. In the first year alone, 2 million Darfurians were displaced; 100,000 made refugees in neighboring Chad; and tens of thousands died.
Just as the Darfur rebels hoped, this explosion of violence brought international pressure on the Khartoum regime, compelling it to sign a peace agreement in 2006 making certain concessions to the Darfur region. The government did not agree to huge revenue sharing, as it had with the south, but did concede to increased local autonomy and a small amount of reparations for the war. But most of the rebels didn’t agree to this peace, because they had not gotten as good a deal as the south did. So the rebels fight on to this day, and the government continues to respond with a brutal counterinsurgency. The big losers are Darfur’s civilians, who are caught in the middle.
This account of Darfur’s history, which partially implicates the rebels for perpetuating the region’s suffering, outrages many intervention advocates, who lay exclusive blame on the Khartoum regime. But the rebels are willing to sacrifice their own civilians in order to get international attention and thereby more power.
Kuperman made this same point in an op-ed he wrote for the
New York Times last year and I wrote a post
taking issue with it shortly thereafter.
This time around, Kuperman blames the rebels for refusing to sign the DPA because they didn't get a good enough deal which, frankly, seems to be a pretty legitimate reason not to sign a peace deal to me. But, be that as it may, if Kuperman is going to try and blame the rebels for the failed peace accord, he might want to consider mentioning
this rather basic but important fact:
Sudanese government officials here said Sunday they would accept the peace plan, but their agreement came only after it became apparent that at least some of the rebels would balk.
The rebels certainly are not the "good guys" in Darfur - outside of the NGO's, there are no good guys in Darfur, but are they really "willing to sacrifice their own civilians in order to get international attention and thereby more power"? Maybe, I don't know.
But I do know that it is primarily because of Khartoum that thousands of villages have been destroyed, some 400,000 people have died, millions more have been displaced, Chad and the Central African Republic are suffering their own humanitarian crises, the AU cannot protect civilians, and no UN force can get into the country.
Last time I checked, the people being killed were citizens of Sudan and they were being killed by their own government and their proxy militia. It is Khartoum's responsibility to protect its citizens and if anyone is "sacrificing their own civilians in order to get more power," it is the regime in Khartoum.
When his piece appeared in the
New York Times last year, it was quickly
posted on the Sudanese website, as was an
even earlier piece he had in the
Washington Post, which gives you a pretty good sense of just who buys Kuperman's "blame the victims" arguments.
The only good thing I have to say about Kuperman's piece is that I'm glad he seems to have been reduced to publishing his claptrap on places like Spero News and not in
The New York Times.
Labels: Darfur